A total of 92,304,428 outpatient and emergency visit cases were reported by 31 provincial-level administrative divisions and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps from September 4, 2022 to February 12, 2023. Of these, 3,512,735 were ILI cases (3.8%). From September to early December 2022, the weekly number of ILI cases in sentinel hospitals ranged from 85,000 to 124,000, with ILI percentages fluctuating between 2.7% and 3.2%. Starting from December 12, 2022 (Week 50), the ILI percentage in Chinese mainland showed a rapid increase, with ILI percentages of 3.6% (Week 49) and 8.5% (Week 50), respectively. In Week 51, the ILI percentage reached its peak of 12.1%. Subsequently, it began to decline dramatically from Week 52 (7.6%). By Week 6, 2023 (February 6–12), it had decreased to 1.4% (Figure 1), with both ILI cases and ILI percentages lower than the levels at the beginning of December 2022.
Further data analysis of different regions revealed that the peak time of ILI% was similar across regions. The ILI% in the Southwest and Central China peaked in Week 50 (11.8% and 9.2%, respectively), while the ILI% in the Northwest, South, East, North, and Northeast China peaked in Week 51 (11.3%, 15.3%, 13.7%, 5.6%, and 11.2%, respectively). Subsequently, the ILI% continued to decline (Figure 1).
Further analysis of different age groups indicated that the groups aged 0–4 years, 5–14 years, 15–24 years, and 25–59 years reached their peaks in Week 51, while the ≥60 years age group reached its peak in the following week, with a slower trend of rise and decline. Currently, the number of ILI cases in all age groups is lower than the pre-epidemic level (Figure 2).
Virologic Surveillance: rRT-PCR Testing of SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza Virus in Network Laboratories
From December 1, 2022 to February 12, 2023 (sample collection date), 402 national influenza surveillance network laboratories reported simultaneous test results of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus to CNIISIS. During this period, the network laboratories tested 115,844 specimens, with 30,381 (26.2%) positive detections for SARS-CoV-2 and 1,763 (1.5%) positive detections for influenza virus (Figures 3A and 3B).
According to daily detection, the positive rate of SARS-CoV-2 tests increased from mid-December 2022, reaching a peak of 74.1% around December 23–25, before declining with minor fluctuations. During Week 2 of 2023 (January 9–15), the positive rate of SARS-CoV-2 ranged from 14.3% to 29.1% each day, further fell to as low as 3.4% in February 8 of Week 6 (Figures 3B and 4). During the same period, influenza virus detections remained at a low level, decreasing further since mid-December. The weekly positive rate of influenza virus detections was below 1% from late December until Week 5 of 2023, before increasing in Week 6, which is worthy of attention.
Data analysis of different regions showed that the peak time of the SARS-CoV-2 positive rate was very close. In Southwest, Central, North, and Northeast China, the SARS-CoV-2 positive rate peaked in Week 51 (72.5%, 72.3%, 41.2%, and 37.5%, respectively). In East, South, and Northwest China, the SARS-CoV-2 positive rate peaked in Week 52 (73.0%, 68.0%, and 57.7%, respectively). The positive rate began to decline thereafter (Figure 4).