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2022 Vol. 4, No. 30

Preplanned Studies
Association Between COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage and Case Fatality Ratio: a Comparative Study — Hong Kong SAR, China and Singapore, December 2021–March 2022
Guanhao He, Sui Zhu, Di Fu, Jianpeng Xiao, Jianguo Zhao, Ziqiang Lin, Tao Liu, Xiaofeng Liang, Wenjun Ma
2022, 4(30): 649-654. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2022.140
Abstract(7517) HTML (608) PDF 492KB(73)
Abstract:
What is already known about this topic?

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR), China and Singapore are both facing considerable Omicron variant epidemic. However, the overwhelmed medical system and high case fatality ratio (CFR) just occurred in Hong Kong SAR, China but not in Singapore.

What is added by this report?

The low vaccination coverage in Hong Kong SAR, China, especially among the older adults, is shown to be a primary reason of its recent high CFR.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Facing the potential epidemic risk, non-vaccinated, non-fully-vaccinated, and non-booster-vaccinated people in China, especially the elderly, should get any type of accessible vaccine, which could save lives when the infection unfortunately befalls.

Outbreak Reports
Response and Assessment of the Effectiveness of the Countermeasures for a COVID-19 Outbreak — Guizhou Province, China, March 2022
Jiao Huang, Liying Wang, Chun Yu, Zhaobing Liu, Guanghong Yang, Ziyao Lan, Zhongfa Tao, Kaike Ping, He Huang, Shijun Li, Yan Huang
2022, 4(30): 655-659. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2022.141
Abstract(3934) HTML (458) PDF 269KB(38)
Abstract:
What is already known about this topic?

Many regions in China have recently reported outbreaks of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the Omicron variant.

What is added by this report?

Wuchuan County, Guizhou Province reacted quickly and implemented accurate intervention measures to effectively control the outbreak. The susceptible-exposed-infectious-asymptomatic-removed (SEIAR) model was applied to evaluate the effectiveness of intervention measures.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Fast response measures should be taken to prevent the spread of outbreaks caused by the Omicron variant.

Methods and Applications
Estimating New Cases Among Athletes During the Winter Olympics Based on a Dynamic Model — Beijing, China, February 2022
Zonghao Zhang, Xiaotong Huang, Chuanqing Xu, Xiaojing Wang, Songbai Guo
2022, 4(30): 660-664. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2022.131
Abstract(5956) HTML (396) PDF 502KB(28)
Abstract:
Introduction

Since first appearing in late 2021, the Omicron variant has spread rapidly around the world. Nevertheless, the XXIV Winter Olympic Games (WOG) were held in Beijing in February 2022, which undoubtedly posed a huge challenge to domestic epidemic prevention and control.

Methods

To analyze and evaluate the spread of the epidemic within the closed-loop management of the Beijing 2022 WOG, an improved dynamics model was established. Using the known dynamics parameters, the new daily cases and final members of quarantined people were predicted, and the influence of different factors on the change of the number of quarantined people was analyzed.

Results

When the proportion of exposed persons being detected and the degree of admixture between the two populations varied between 0.5 and 0.9, there was little change in the daily predicted number of new cases and the final number of quarantined patients. As the initial value of the exposed among inbound personnel increases, the final size of quarantined patients increased proportionally.

Discussion

From the analysis results, detecting potential virus carriers at the entry stage is the most effective way to control the spread of the epidemic within the closed-loop management of the Beijing 2022 WOG.

Notes from the Field